CPSL Exploded

The last few trading days, CPSL has absolutely exploded. It is up from around 1.50 to above 2.50. I didn't think I would see those levels this early in the year, but it's happened.

I am short calls on my stock at 2.50 for June and September, so I expect this trend to hold, and get called out on my stock, which is the bulk of my portfolio. All of which is fine with me.

More Covered Calls

I wrote more covered calls on the remainder of my CPSL position. Half my position is short Sept. 2.5 calls, and the other half is June 2.5 calls, which I wrote today for a dime. Very overvalued, especially since CPSL has basically been trading in this range for a week now. I don't expect to see too many large jumps in the price until further on down the road.

CPSL - Covered (some) Calls

After an amazing daily gain, CPSL wobbled. However, there was a buyer interested in purchasing some September 2.5 calls from me, so I sold him 10 very overpriced calls at .20 cents, when theoretical value was under .10. Fine with me, now, I am going to continue waiting for another run up, hopefully to 1.80.

Right now, CPSL is below resistance again, in the 1.15 - 1.20 area. Watch for another break out in the next few weeks.

CPSL - Bullish?

Long time readers will know I am long CPSL--Chinese Precision Steel. Balance sheets look stable enough, but it is an extremely volatile stock. Which, translates in to premium for short positions, ie the covered call.

CPSL established a minor uptrend in the last week. Yesterday we saw a Doji candle, followed today, by a 22.3% increase in price today. Previous candlestick patterns resulted in a significant rally. However, it appears that the 1.45 area is solid resistance and might take some effort to break through.

Today showed great volume. I am looking for CPSL to break resistance and move higher as it has previously. Possibly up to 1.75-1.80 area. At this level theoretical values of Sept 2.5 Calls should be about .25. In other words, a few thousand shares would be worth a decent premium.

CPSL - Call Expiration

CPSL is a beaten down stock, along with everything else. I have been long this stock for some time now, playing the high volatility by selling calls against my stock, which worked great until November, when the stock tanked below 2.50 and left me holding the stock and no value in the higher strikes.

I took a chance and sold a few March 2.50 calls at great risk, but they are now expiring worthless today and I am keeping the premium.

I have since added to my position, and averaged down below 2.50.

I am estimating the historical volatility at 97%. As a result, the back month 2.50 strikes are showing some decent premium. I am hoping to see a move in the next few weeks to the prior resistance level of about 1.45. If it fails to rally above that, I will sell my calls there. However, if it breaks resistance, CPSL has a great chance of heading back to higher resistance at 1.80, where I can squeeze more premium out of those calls.